Which central banks will raise interest rates in 2026?

Related Cryptos

• BitcoinBTC$81,779.22-0.70%
• EthereumETH$2,405.41-1.00%
• SolanaSOL$104.57+0.20%

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Which central banks will raise interest rates in 2026??

Manifold Markets prices US Federal Reserve at 100% as of October 23, 2026.

When does Which central banks will raise interest rates in 2026? resolve?

Which central banks will raise interest rates in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Which central banks will raise interest rates in 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES iff the relevant bank hikes interest rates, by any amount, at any point in 2026, according to multiple credible news sources.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change+6.0pt94%
• 25 bps increase-6.0pt6%
• 25 bps decrease0%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$57.4M

24h Vol

$3.1M

POLYMARKET

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

• Yes-4.0pt76.2%
• No+4.0pt23.8%

Total Vol

$995.4K

24h Vol

$99.9K

POLYMARKET

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

• 2 (50 bps)69%
• 1 (25 bps)+3.0pt24%
• 3 (75 bps)-1.9pt7%

+3 more outcomes

KALSHI

Core CPI YoY in November

• Above 2.2%+1.0pt98.5%
• Above 2.0%98.5%
• Above 2.3%+2.0pt98.5%

POLYMARKET

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

• 5.3%43%
• 5.4%-6.0pt35%
• 5.5%-11.4pt14%

+11 more outcomes

KALSHI

CPI in October

• Above -0.1%+1.0pt98.5%
• Above 0.0%+1.0pt97.5%
• Above 0.1%+7.0pt88.5%

• Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
• US headline CPI inflation in December 2027
• How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
• NYC median asking rent in December 2026
• Core CPI in October
• US used cars and trucks CPI for October
• CPI YoY in November
• Core CPI YoY in December
• Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
• How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?
• South Africa Annual Inflation 2026