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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Inflation
  3. China Annual Inflation 2026
China Annual Inflation 2026

China Annual Inflation 2026

19.5% (24h)InflationOne-OffChina7mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
1.1 – 1.5%
1.1 – 1.5% 61%+19.5%
Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$168.3

Liquidity

$10.3K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

50.0% / 72.0%

Spread

44.0%

Wide spread
7d Change

+21.0%

Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Jan 22, 26, 12:31 AMJan 10, 27, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

1.1 – 1.5%61%

Rules

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
  • The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027.
  • Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
  • If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
  • You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,161.82+0.59%EthereumETH$1,640.07-0.06%SolanaSOL$64.25-1.38%

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Rules

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
  • The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027.
  • Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
  • If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
  • You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".