PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No Change · —
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Stored reference
No Change 72.3%Leader of 5 outcomes
No Change 72.3%Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.4K
Liquidity
$6.7K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$2.9K
Bid / Ask
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No ChangeSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Oct 30, 26, 12:20 AM UTCFeb 4, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · No Change
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
ECB Interest Rates: December 2026
PolymarketECB Interest Rates: March 2027
PolymarketWhich central banks will raise interest rates in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWhen will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States)
Manifold MarketsWill Tumbles understand why raising interest rates lowers inflation? (before 2027)
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the February 2027 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its February 2027 meeting, scheduled for February 3 and February 4, 2027, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's February 2027 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
