KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Maintain current rate 85.4%Leader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Maintain current rate 85.4%Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$17.8K
Medium open interestMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 29, 26, 5:00 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 3:29 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia lower the rate 25bps at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExReserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in November?
Manifold MarketsReserve Bank of Australia Decision in December
PolymarketWill the Reserve Bank of Australia leave the rate unchanged at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExWill the Reserve Bank of Australia raise the rate 25bps at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExSouth African Reserve Bank Decision in November?
PolymarketRules
If the Reserve Bank of Australia takes the action of maintain current rate at its November Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
Rules for each outcome
- Maintain current rate
- If the Reserve Bank of Australia takes the action of maintain current rate at its November Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Hike 1-25bps
- If the Reserve Bank of Australia takes the action of hike 1-25bps at its November Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cut more than 25bps
- If the Reserve Bank of Australia takes the action of cut more than 25bps at its November Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cut 1-25bps
- If the Reserve Bank of Australia takes the action of cut 1-25bps at its November Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Hike more than 25bps
- If the Reserve Bank of Australia takes the action of hike more than 25bps at its November Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
