KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Hike more than 25bps 8%Leader of 5 outcomes
Hike more than 25bps 8%Market quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.7K
Open interest
$1.7K
Low open interestSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Oct 6, 26, 2:30 PM UTCDec 4, 26, 5:29 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in December
PolymarketReserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?
PolymarketReserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in October
KalshiReserve Bank of Australia rate decision in November
KalshiSwiss National Bank rate decision in December
KalshiEuropean Central Bank rate decision in December
KalshiRules
If the Reserve Bank of India takes the action of hike more than 25bps at its December Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "Maintain current rate" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
Rules for each outcome
- Hike more than 25bps
- If the Reserve Bank of India takes the action of hike more than 25bps at its December Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cut 1-25bps
- If the Reserve Bank of India takes the action of cut 1-25bps at its December Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cut more than 25bps
- If the Reserve Bank of India takes the action of cut more than 25bps at its December Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Maintain current rate
- If the Reserve Bank of India takes the action of maintain current rate at its December Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Hike 1-25bps
- If the Reserve Bank of India takes the action of hike 1-25bps at its December Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Reserve Bank of India decision in December · 25 bps increase 68%
