PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
25 bps increase · —
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Stored reference
25 bps increase 86.4%Leader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
25 bps increase 86.4%Market quality
74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5.2K
Liquidity
$17.4K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$5K
Bid / Ask
— / —
25 bps increaseSpread
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Comments
0
7d Change
+8.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Sep 18, 26, 11:57 PM UTCDec 18, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · 25 bps increase
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Bank of Japan Decision in March?
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Manifold MarketsFed rate decision in December 2026
Robinhood (Rothera)Fed Decision in December?
PolymarketBank of England decision in December?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of Japan’s Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Japan, including the statement or release from its December 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, scheduled for December 17-18, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Japan calendar (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Japan’s Policy Board resulting from its December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Bank of Japan rate decision in December · Hike 25bps 86%
