PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
25 bps increase 70.8%+21.5ptLeader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
51 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.6K
Liquidity
$2.9K
Medium liquiditySpread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 18, 26, 11:57 PM UTCDec 18, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Bank of Japan Decision in October?
PolymarketBank of Japan Decision in October?
LimitlessBank of Japan rate decision in October
KalshiWill the Bank of Japan have a negative interest rate again before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsBank of Japan interest rate decision — October 2026
FutuurWill the Bank of Japan leave the rate unchanged at the October 30, 2026 meeting?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of Japan’s Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Japan, including the statement or release from its December 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, scheduled for December 17-18, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Japan calendar (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Japan’s Policy Board resulting from its December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Bank of Japan rate decision in December · Hike 25bps 54%
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Bank of Japan Decision in December??
- Polymarket prices 25 bps increase at 71% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Bank of Japan Decision in December? resolve?
- Bank of Japan Decision in December? is scheduled to resolve on December 18, 2026.
- How is Bank of Japan Decision in December? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of Japan’s Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- Where else is Bank of Japan Decision in December? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.
