KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 4, 2026, 10:57 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Above 1,125,000 listings · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
Above 1,175,000 listings 95%Market line of 7 lines
Above 1,175,000 listings 95%Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$6.1K
Open interest
$7.5K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 1,125,000 listingsSpread
—
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 2, 26, 2:30 PM UTCNov 6, 26, 12:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 1,125,000 listings
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the value of Chinese housing stock fall below 20% of current value? (By 2031)
Manifold MarketsNumber of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
KalshiBank of Canada Decision in December?
PolymarketFed Decision in April?
PolymarketBank of Canada Decision in January?
PolymarketBank of Canada Decision in March?
PolymarketRules
If the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 is above 1,175,000 listings, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:FRED
- The Underlying is the first value published for the October 2026 observation of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis FRED series “Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States,” series ID ACTLISCOUUS. Only the initially reported FRED value will be used; subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 1,125,000 listings
- If the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 is above 1,125,000 listings, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1,100,000 listings
- If the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 is above 1,100,000 listings, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1,150,000 listings
- If the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 is above 1,150,000 listings, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1,175,000 listings
- If the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 is above 1,175,000 listings, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1,225,000 listings
- If the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 is above 1,225,000 listings, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1,250,000 listings
- If the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 is above 1,250,000 listings, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1,200,000 listings
- If the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 is above 1,200,000 listings, then the market resolves to Yes.
