KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityYes 19%+1.3%
Market quality
91 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$634.7
Liquidity
$428.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
19.1% / 19.2%
Spread
0.5%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 26 minutes ago
Feb 26, 26, 3:00 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes19%
Large trades
$1.5k20.0%KALSHIYes8d ago
KALSHIYes8d ago$1.4k29.6%KALSHIYes11d ago
KALSHIYes11d ago$1.3k78.0%KALSHINo12d ago
KALSHINo12d ago$1.1k26.5%KALSHIYes15d ago
KALSHIYes15d ago$1.9k24.0%KALSHIYes18d ago
KALSHIYes18d agoVolume trend
$635Jul 225d of dataJul 26
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If the Federal Reserve cuts its target federal funds rate range at least once between February 26, 2026 and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close and determine on the first 10 AM ET following the occurrence of the event if the event occurs prior to the target date.