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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Fed
  3. Fed rate cut before 2027?
Fed rate cut before 2027?

Fed rate cut before 2027?

FedOne-Off6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 25%
Market quality

49 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$98.1

Liquidity

$1.7K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

23.3% / 24.0%

Spread

3.0%

Tight spread
Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Feb 26, 26, 3:00 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes25%

PolymarketAlso available on Polymarket

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

0.5%6mo
Yes
Yes
+0.0%9%
No
No
91%
44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$105.5K
24h Vol$9.1
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Rules

If the Federal Reserve cuts its target federal funds rate range at least once between February 26, 2026 and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market will close and determine on the first 10 AM ET following the occurrence of the event if the event occurs prior to the target date.

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,019.68+1.18%EthereumETH$1,633.12+0.56%SolanaSOL$64.38+0.08%

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Active in these topics

DogecoinDOGE$0.0837-0.13%BNBBNB$590.65+0.59%XRPXRP$1.11-1.01%CardanoADA$0.1619-0.25%HyperliquidHYPE$54.02-3.26%LitecoinLTC$42.13-0.82%

Related News

Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsWall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsStrategy's bitcoin purchase fails to stir BTC priceCoindeskBitcoin braces for inflation shock as CPI puts bulls on edgeCrypto NewsThe Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto NewsMay 2026 US Jobs Report: Upward Revisions Reshape Crypto Fed Rate Cut OutlookBlockchain Reporter

Rules

If the Federal Reserve cuts its target federal funds rate range at least once between February 26, 2026 and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market will close and determine on the first 10 AM ET following the occurrence of the event if the event occurs prior to the target date.