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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Fed
  3. Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

0.5% (24h)FedOne-Off6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 9%+0.0%
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$9.1

Liquidity

$3K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

7.0% / 11.0%

Spread

57.1%

Wide spread
7d Change

-1.0%

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Nov 12, 25, 11:12 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes9%

KalshiAlso available on Kalshi

Fed rate cut before 2027?

Fed rate cut before 2027?

6mo
Yes
Yes
25%
No
No
75%
49 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$3.4K
24h Vol$98.7
KalshiKALSHI

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
  • The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,088.95+1.39%EthereumETH$1,636.01+0.87%SolanaSOL$64.49+0.38%

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Active in these topics

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Related News

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
  • The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.