KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
0 cuts 93.1%+0.9ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$5.8K
Liquidity
$227.5K
High liquiditySpread
3.4 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 25 minutes ago
Jan 6, 26, 3:00 AMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Trends
0%
0%
Rules
If the Fed cuts the target federal funds rate exactly 0 times at emergency meetings in 2026, the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Federal Reserve
- To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).
- If the Fed cuts the target federal funds rate exactly 1 times at emergency meetings in 2026, the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts the target federal funds rate exactly 2 times at emergency meetings in 2026, the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts the target federal funds rate exactly 3 times at emergency meetings in 2026, the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts the target federal funds rate exactly 4 times at emergency meetings in 2026, the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change+3.0pt66.7%
- 25 bps increase-2.0pt32.4%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $52.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.6M
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Fed maintains rate+2.0pt65.7%
- Hike 25bps-1.0pt31.4%
- Cut 25bps1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $14.6M
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)-0.1pt86%
- 1 (25 bps)10%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.2pt3%
+10 more outcomes
KALSHIFed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Above 3.50%99%
- Above 2.75%99%
- Above 3.00%99%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $562.2K
- 24h Vol
- $47.5K
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+12.9pt49%
- SpaceX-25.0pt40%
- OpenAI-0.2pt1%
+9 more outcomes
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Fed maintains rate+1.0pt66.8%
- Hike 25bps-1.0pt27%
- Cut 25bps3.3%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $192.3K
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Fed Decision in October?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his Jackson Hole remarks?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Bank of Canada Decision in September?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026??
- Kalshi prices 0 cuts at 93% as of August 26, 2026.
- When does Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026? resolve?
- Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Fed cuts the target federal funds rate exactly 0 times at emergency meetings in 2026, the market resolves to Yes.