KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
0 cuts · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored price
0 cuts Stored bid–ask97%–98.8%Collected: Last trade: 96.8% · Trade time unknownNormalized research estimate: 99%Prices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Leader of 5 outcomes
0 cuts Stored bid–ask97%–98.8%Collected: Last trade: 96.8% · Trade time unknownNormalized research estimate: 99%Prices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$150
Open interest
$252.7K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
0 cutsSpread
—
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Jan 6, 26, 3:00 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · 0 cuts
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the Fed cuts the target federal funds rate exactly 0 times at emergency meetings in 2026, the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Federal Reserve
- To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).
Rules for each outcome
- 0 cuts
- If the Fed cuts the target federal funds rate exactly 0 times at emergency meetings in 2026, the market resolves to Yes.
- 1 cuts
- If the Fed cuts the target federal funds rate exactly 1 times at emergency meetings in 2026, the market resolves to Yes.
- 2 cuts
- If the Fed cuts the target federal funds rate exactly 2 times at emergency meetings in 2026, the market resolves to Yes.
- 3 cuts
- If the Fed cuts the target federal funds rate exactly 3 times at emergency meetings in 2026, the market resolves to Yes.
- 4 cuts
- If the Fed cuts the target federal funds rate exactly 4 times at emergency meetings in 2026, the market resolves to Yes.
