Fed decision in Oct 2027?

20.0% (24h)FedOne-Off1y

KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

Current implied probability

Cut 25bps 7%-20.0%

Leader of 5 outcomes

Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

$10

Liquidity

$1.1K

Low liquidity

Bid / Ask

5.0% / 9.0%

Spread

80.0%

Wide spread

Market data

Updated 13 minutes ago

Oct 6, 25, 2:00 PMOct 27, 27, 5:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Cut 25bps7%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on October 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is mutually exclusive.
Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on October 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Volume trend

$10

Jul 26d of dataJul 8

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SolanaSOL$77.30-5.98%

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Rules

If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on October 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is mutually exclusive.
Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on October 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Fed decision in Oct 2027?

20.0% (24h)FedOne-Off1y

KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

Current implied probability

Cut 25bps 7%-20.0%

Leader of 5 outcomes

Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

$10

Liquidity

$1.1K

Low liquidity

Bid / Ask

5.0% / 9.0%

Spread

80.0%

Wide spread

Market data

Updated 13 minutes ago

Oct 6, 25, 2:00 PMOct 27, 27, 5:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Cut 25bps7%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on October 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is mutually exclusive.
Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on October 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Volume trend

$10

Jul 26d of dataJul 8

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,104.85-2.99%

EthereumETH$1,736.27-3.62%

SolanaSOL$77.30-5.98%

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HyperliquidHYPE$67.65-5.59%

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Bitcoin climbs toward $60,000 after Fed Chair Warsh said inflation risks has come downCoindesk

U.S. Supreme Court blocks Trump bid to remove Fed Governor Lisa CookCrypto News

BofA sees 75 bps Fed hikes as Polymarket keeps 2026 no-cuts at 77%Blockchain.News

Hot PCE inflation fuels rate-hike talk as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 89.5%Blockchain.News

PCE inflation update keeps Fed path in focus as Polymarket pegs 0 cuts at 80%Blockchain.News

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Rules

If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on October 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is mutually exclusive.
Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on October 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.