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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Fed
  3. Fed decision in Jul 2027?
Fed decision in Jul 2027?

Fed decision in Jul 2027?

FedOne-Off1y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Cut 25bps
Cut 25bps 12%
Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$1.9

Liquidity

$27

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

11.0% / 12.0%

Spread

9.1%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Oct 6, 25, 2:00 PMJul 28, 27, 5:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Cut 25bps12%

Rules

If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on July 28, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market is mutually exclusive.
  • Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
  • Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
  • Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
  • If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on July 28, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,812.72+2.63%EthereumETH$1,656.80+2.36%SolanaSOL$65.17+2.67%

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Fed decision in Dec 2027?

Fed decision in Dec 2027?

$0.1
Hike 25bps: 2%KalshiKALSHI
Fed decision in Apr 2027?

Fed decision in Apr 2027?

$0.1
Cut >25bps: 1%KalshiKALSHI

Active in these topics

DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.86%BNBBNB$599.08+2.48%XRPXRP$1.12+0.93%CardanoADA$0.1661+3.91%HyperliquidHYPE$55.74-0.16%LitecoinLTC$42.46+0.37%

Related News

Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsWall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsStrategy's bitcoin purchase fails to stir BTC priceCoindeskBitcoin braces for inflation shock as CPI puts bulls on edgeCrypto NewsThe Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto NewsMay 2026 US Jobs Report: Upward Revisions Reshape Crypto Fed Rate Cut OutlookBlockchain Reporter

Rules

If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on July 28, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market is mutually exclusive.
  • Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
  • Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
  • Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
  • If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on July 28, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.