KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityFed maintains rate 78%+17.0ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$12.6
Liquidity
$5.7K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
77.0% / 78.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Oct 6, 25, 2:00 PMJul 28, 27, 5:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Fed maintains rate78%
Volume trend
$13Jul 221d of dataJul 27
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
$3.9MFed maintains rate: 73%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
$12.8KCut 25bps: 4%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
$2.6KCut 25bps: 6%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Dec 2026?
$1KFed maintains rate: 58%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2027?
$20Hike >25bps: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2027?
$2Hike 25bps: 3%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket odds: Fed July hold jumps to 95% after Bitcoin breaks $65KBlockchain.News
Bitcoin climbs above $65K as weak PPI rattles Fed hawksCrypto News
Polymarket odds tilt to Sept Fed hold at 61.5% after Warsh testimonyBlockchain.NewsPolymarket odds for 2026 Fed hike fall to 52.5% as traders trim betsBlockchain.News
Polymarket sees 92.5% odds of July Fed hold as crypto jumps on easing inflationBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds: Fed hold slips to 56.5% after softer CPI chatterBlockchain.NewsRules
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on July 28, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
- Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
- Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on July 28, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.