Fed decision in Mar 2027?

FedOne-Off7mo

KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibrated

Current implied probability

Fed maintains rate 65%

Leader of 5 outcomes

Market quality

71 / 100

Medium quality

24h Volume

$10

Liquidity

$3K

Medium liquidity

Bid / Ask

64.0% / 65.0%

Spread

1.6%

Tight spread

Market data

Updated 25 minutes ago

Oct 6, 25, 2:00 PMMar 17, 27, 5:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Fed maintains rate65%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on March 17, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is mutually exclusive.
Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on March 17, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Volume trend

$10

Jul 39d of dataJul 21

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$66,348.90+1.78%

EthereumETH$1,922.29+1.18%

SolanaSOL$78.05+0.41%

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$42.6

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Fed decision in Mar 2027?

FedOne-Off7mo

KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibrated

Current implied probability

Fed maintains rate 65%

Leader of 5 outcomes

Market quality

71 / 100

Medium quality

24h Volume

$10

Liquidity

$3K

Medium liquidity

Bid / Ask

64.0% / 65.0%

Spread

1.6%

Tight spread

Market data

Updated 25 minutes ago

Oct 6, 25, 2:00 PMMar 17, 27, 5:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Fed maintains rate65%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on March 17, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is mutually exclusive.
Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on March 17, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Volume trend

$10

Jul 39d of dataJul 21

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$66,348.90+1.78%

EthereumETH$1,922.29+1.18%

SolanaSOL$78.05+0.41%

Related Markets

Fed decision in Jul 2026?

$4.4M

Hike >25bps: 1%

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