Will the Bank of Japan have a negative interest rate again before the end of 2026?

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the Bank of Japan have a negative interest rate again before the end of 2026??

Manifold Markets prices No at 96.6% as of November 5, 2026.

When does Will the Bank of Japan have a negative interest rate again before the end of 2026? resolve?

Will the Bank of Japan have a negative interest rate again before the end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.

How is Will the Bank of Japan have a negative interest rate again before the end of 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Japan's central bank raised its interest rate above zero for the first time since 2016 back in March 2024 (BBC, Bank of Japan).

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ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)

Fed rate decision in December 2026

• Hike 25bps+3.0pt71.2%
• Fed maintains rate-3.0pt21.2%
• Cut 25bps+1.0pt2.6%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$51.6K

24h Vol

$1.6M

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in December?

• 25 bps increase77.2%
• No change21.8%
• 50+ bps increase-0.6pt1%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

KALSHI

Fed decision in Dec 2026?

• Hike 25bps+3.0pt79.5%
• Fed maintains rate-1.0pt20%
• Hike >25bps-1.0pt

KALSHI

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?

• Above 3.75%+1.0pt98.5%
• Above 3.25%99%
• Above 2.75%98%

POLYMARKET

Bank of Mexico Decision in November?

• No change+6.5pt79.2%
• 25 bps decrease-7.2pt20.8%
• 25 bps increase0%

+2 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

• 0 (0 bps)+1.0pt99%
• 1 (25 bps)+0.2pt1%
• 10 (250 bps)0%

+10 more outcomes

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