FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
0 88.3%Leader of 7 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
0 88.3%Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$18.6K
Medium liquidityTraders
62
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This event predicts the total number of Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings in 2026 at which the FOMC announces a reduction in the target range for the U.S. federal funds rate.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is the Federal Reserve, using official FOMC statements and press releases published on federalreserve.gov.
- Each meeting at which a cut is announced will count as one (1) cut, regardless of the size of the reduction.
- Multiple cuts announced at a single meeting will still count as one cut, while cuts announced at separate meetings will each count individually.
- Rate increases or pauses at other meetings do not affect the count.
- If FOMC communications are delayed or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be confirmation from official Federal Reserve records or a clear consensus of reporting by major financial news organizations such as Reuters or Bloomberg.
