KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 3.50% · —
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Stored price
Above 4.25% 34%Market line of 5 lines
Above 4.25% 34%Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$19.3K
Open interest
$4.1K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 3.50%Spread
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Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 4:40 PM UTCJan 4, 27, 1:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 3.50%
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Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?
KalshiWill the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 4.125% at the FOMC meeting ending December 9, 2026?
ForecastExFed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?
KalshiWill the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 3.875% at the FOMC meeting ending December 9, 2026?
ForecastExFed funds rate after Jan 2027 meeting?
KalshiWill the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 3.375% at the FOMC meeting ending October 28, 2026?
ForecastExRules
If the first published Effective Federal Funds Rate (EFFR) value for December 31, 2026 is above 4.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Rules for each outcome
- Above 3.50%
- If the first published Effective Federal Funds Rate (EFFR) value for December 31, 2026 is above 3.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 3.75%
- If the first published Effective Federal Funds Rate (EFFR) value for December 31, 2026 is above 3.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.00%
- If the first published Effective Federal Funds Rate (EFFR) value for December 31, 2026 is above 4.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.25%
- If the first published Effective Federal Funds Rate (EFFR) value for December 31, 2026 is above 4.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.50%
- If the first published Effective Federal Funds Rate (EFFR) value for December 31, 2026 is above 4.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.
