PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 31, 2026, 4:01 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
No Change · —
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Stored reference
No Change 45.8%Leader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
No Change 45.8%Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$294.6
Liquidity
$5.1K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$1.1K
Bid / Ask
— / —
No ChangeSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 48 minutes ago
LaggingOct 30, 26, 12:23 AM UTCMar 18, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · No Change
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the March 2027 meeting of the Bank of Japan's Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Japan, including the statement or release from its March 2027 Monetary Policy Meeting, scheduled to conclude on March 18, 2027, as listed on the official Bank of Japan calendar (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Japan's Policy Board resulting from its March 2027 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
