Current community forecast
Increase (25 bps or more) 45.9%-0.7ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+12.6 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleOct 2, 26, 3:10 PM UTCMar 17, 27, 6:00 PM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market resolves based on the change in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate from its level immediately before the March 2027 FOMC meeting.
- The outcome is determined by the net basis-point change announced in the official March FOMC statement.
- If the Fed changes the rate by an amount not matching a displayed option, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 bps for resolution (e.g., a 12.5 bps move is treated as 25 bps).
- Resolution Sources:
- The official FOMC statement for the FOMC meeting:
- https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
