Above 230,400 jobs
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Yes · —
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Stored price
Yes 86.5%
Yes 86.5%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$250
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
YesSpread
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Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 6:00 PM UTCApr 30, 27, 1:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Yes
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Connecticut insurance-industry employment increase YoY in 2026?
KalshiWill Ohio manufacturing employment rise YoY?
KalshiWill Missouri manufacturing employment rise YoY?
KalshiWill Kentucky distillery employment rise YoY?
KalshiWill the increase in US Payroll Employment exceed 80,000 in October 2026?
ForecastExWill the BLS show growth in software engineer employment through 2029?
Manifold MarketsRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- The Underlying is BLS series SMU36000005552300001, measured in thousands of jobs and not seasonally adjusted. The 230.4 thousand threshold is fixed and will not change if the 2025 value is later revised.
Rules for each outcome
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
