KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Sep 8, 2026, 8:04 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
7.0% / 8.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Aug 19, 26, 2:00 AM UTCApr 30, 27, 8:59 PM UTC
Trends
100%
0%
Rules
If Connecticut’s annual average employment in Insurance Carriers and Related Activities for 2026 is above 54,600 employees, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- The Underlying is the annual average of not-seasonally-adjusted all-employee payroll employment in Connecticut for Insurance Carriers and Related Activities (NAICS 524).
- BLS reports the series in thousands of employees; for example, 54.6 thousand is treated as 54,600 employees.
- The category includes insurance carriers as well as agencies, brokerages, and other insurance-related activities, so it should not be interpreted as insurance carriers alone.
- Resolution uses the first BLS-published 54,600 employees annual-average value; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution.
- The underlying BLS series ID is SMU09000005552400001.
Open markets
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $354.3K
- 24h Vol
- $354.2K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+4.0pt50%
- 65-89+27.0pt47.1%
- 90-114-2.4pt2.9%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt78.4%
- Apple+0.6pt13.7%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 more outcomes
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
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+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.5K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt18.2%
- 200-219-1.0pt18.2%
- 160-179+1.0pt14.1%
+23 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt98%
- Apple-0.2pt2%
- Alphabet0%
+6 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Connecticut insurance-industry employment increase YoY in 2026??
- Kalshi prices No at 100% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Connecticut insurance-industry employment increase YoY in 2026? resolve?
- Will Connecticut insurance-industry employment increase YoY in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on April 30, 2027.
- How is Will Connecticut insurance-industry employment increase YoY in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Connecticut’s annual average employment in Insurance Carriers and Related Activities for 2026 is above 54,600 employees, then the market resolves to Yes.