Will November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000??

Manifold Markets prices No at 77.7% as of October 27, 2026.

When does Will November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000? resolve?

Will November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000? is scheduled to resolve on December 4, 2026.

How is Will November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Employment Situation release for November 2026 reports that total nonfarm payroll employment increased by at least 150,000 jobs.

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POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change+0.9pt93%
• 25 bps increase-1.0pt7%
• 25 bps decrease-0.1pt0%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$77.7M

24h Vol

$6.8M

KALSHI

Core CPI YoY in November

• Above 2.0%98.5%
• Above 2.2%98.5%
• Above 2.3%98.5%

POLYMARKET

PPI YoY - October 2026

• 6.8%++21.0pt53.1%
• 6.2%+8.6pt14.4%
• 6.7%-6.0pt7.2%

+7 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

• 2 (50 bps)+2.5pt75.3%
• 1 (25 bps)-1.0pt21.8%
• 3 (75 bps)-1.7pt3%

+3 more outcomes

KALSHI

CPI in November

• Above -0.1%+6.0pt92.5%
• Above 0.0%+7.0pt87.5%
• Above 0.1%70.5%

KALSHI

CPI YoY in November

• Above 3.0%+1.0pt98.5%
• Above 3.3%97.5%
• Above 3.1%98.5%

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