KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAbove 5% 10%+0.8%Leader of 14 outcomes
Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$117.7
Liquidity
$288.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
5.3% / 9.6%
Spread
81.1%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Jan 5, 26, 3:00 PMJan 8, 27, 1:25 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above 5%10%
Volume trend
$118Jul 225d of dataJul 26
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Rules
If any U.S. seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate for a month in 2026 is above 4.5%, the market resolves to Yes.
- If any U.S. seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate for a month in 2026 is above 4.8%, the market resolves to Yes.
- If any U.S. seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate for a month in 2026 is above 5%, the market resolves to Yes.
- If any U.S. seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate for a month in 2026 is above 5.5%, the market resolves to Yes.
- If any U.S. seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate for a month in 2026 is above 6%, the market resolves to Yes.
- If any U.S. seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate for a month in 2026 is above 6.5%, the market resolves to Yes.