KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAbove 5% 88%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$6.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
88.0% / 95.0%
Spread
8.0%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 25 minutes ago
Jun 4, 25, 2:00 PMJan 4, 30, 1:25 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above 5%88%
Volume trend
$87Jul 711d of dataJul 25
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Rules
If the U-3 unemployment rate from June 2025 to January 2030 is above 5%, the market resolves to Yes.
- If, from June 2025 to January 2030 the U-3 unemployment rate is above 6%, the market resolves to Yes.
- If, from June 2025 to January 2030 the U-3 unemployment rate is above 7%, the market resolves to Yes.
- If, from June 2025 to January 2030 the U-3 unemployment rate is above 8%, the market resolves to Yes.
- If, from June 2025 to January 2030 the U-3 unemployment rate is above 9%, the market resolves to Yes.
- If, from June 2025 to January 2030 the U-3 unemployment rate is above 10%, the market resolves to Yes.