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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Economy
  3. How high will unemployment get before 2030?
How high will unemployment get before 2030?

How high will unemployment get before 2030?

13.0% (24h)EconomyOne-Off3y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Above 10%
Above 10% 41%+13.0%
Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0.1

Liquidity

$63.6

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

31.0% / 40.0%

Spread

29.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Jun 4, 25, 2:00 PMJan 4, 30, 1:25 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Above 10%41%

Rules

If the U-3 unemployment rate from June 2025 to January 2030 is above 5%, the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If, from June 2025 to January 2030 the U-3 unemployment rate is above 6%, the market resolves to Yes.
  • If, from June 2025 to January 2030 the U-3 unemployment rate is above 7%, the market resolves to Yes.
  • If, from June 2025 to January 2030 the U-3 unemployment rate is above 8%, the market resolves to Yes.
  • If, from June 2025 to January 2030 the U-3 unemployment rate is above 9%, the market resolves to Yes.
  • If, from June 2025 to January 2030 the U-3 unemployment rate is above 10%, the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

How high will unemployment get in 2026?

How high will unemployment get in 2026?

$0.2
Above 5%: 15%KalshiKALSHI
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

$3.7K
Yes: 20%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

$915
5.0%: 17%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?

$300
Yes: 27.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
June Unemployment Rate

June Unemployment Rate

$155.3
4.4%: 31%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US real GDP growth in 2030?

US real GDP growth in 2030?

$154.9
2.6% to 3.0%: 11%KalshiKALSHI

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,685.50+1.86%EthereumETH$1,654.27+1.27%SolanaSOL$65.03+1.10%DogecoinDOGE$0.0847+1.07%XRPXRP$1.11+0.03%BNBBNB$596.29+1.58%

Rules

If the U-3 unemployment rate from June 2025 to January 2030 is above 5%, the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If, from June 2025 to January 2030 the U-3 unemployment rate is above 6%, the market resolves to Yes.
  • If, from June 2025 to January 2030 the U-3 unemployment rate is above 7%, the market resolves to Yes.
  • If, from June 2025 to January 2030 the U-3 unemployment rate is above 8%, the market resolves to Yes.
  • If, from June 2025 to January 2030 the U-3 unemployment rate is above 9%, the market resolves to Yes.
  • If, from June 2025 to January 2030 the U-3 unemployment rate is above 10%, the market resolves to Yes.