Current implied probability
0-1.0% 50.5%-0.9ptLeader of 9 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$104.3
Liquidity
$9.6K
Medium liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
+27.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jan 22, 26, 12:32 AM UTCJan 31, 27, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
PolymarketUK Annual GDP Growth 2026
PolymarketChina Annual GDP Growth 2026
PolymarketAre Republicans or Democrats better for the economy? [Annual GDP growth by presidential party]
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the quarter-over-quarter growth rate of Eurozone GDP exceed 0% in Q4 2026?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
- If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
- Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market.
Open markets
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $105.9M
- 24h Vol
- $1.9M
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $663.1K
- 24h Vol
- $55.3K
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $418.1K
- 24h Vol
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP-2.0pt94%
- Above -5.0% of GDP-6.0pt90%
- Above -4.5% of GDP80%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $19.1K
KALSHIGermany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.0% of GDP-4.0pt93%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-10.0pt84%
- Above -4.0% of GDP+1.0pt51%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-3.0pt22%
- Total Vol
- $366.1K
- 24h Vol
- $11K
- CPI core in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Japan’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- US recession by end of 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- Recession this year?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM)
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026?
- Polymarket prices 0-1.0% at 51% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026 resolve?
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026 is scheduled to resolve on January 31, 2027.
- How is Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026 settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.