PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 6:44 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
5.0% · —
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Stored reference
5.0% 7%Leader of 5 outcomes
5.0% 7%Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$94.5
Liquidity
$16.6K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$91.4K
Bid / Ask
— / —
5.0%Spread
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Comments
21
7d Change
+0.8 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJan 2, 26, 6:54 PM UTCApr 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · 5.0%
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US unemployment rate at year-end 2026
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.7% in December 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.2% in December 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.2% in December 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 2.7% in December 2026?
ForecastExIf Trump wins, what will the US unemployment rate be at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026.
- This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released.
- If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve at that time.
- The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.