PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability5.0% 17%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$915
Liquidity
$11.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
10.1% / 14.0%
Spread
38.6%
Wide spread7d Change
-3.0%
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jan 2, 26, 6:56 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
5.0%17%
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Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026.
- This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released.
- If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve at that time.
- The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.