Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026?

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026??

Manifold Markets prices No at 52.7% as of November 4, 2026.

When does Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026? resolve?

Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on March 1, 2027.

How is Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves as YES if Nigeria has a larger GDP than South Africa in the year from January 1st 2026 -> December 31st 2026

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KALSHI

Recession this year?

• No93.5%
• Yes+4.0pt6.5%

Total Vol

$4M

24h Vol

$98.3K

KALSHI

2026: Trump's dream year?

• No99.6%
• Yes-1.6pt0.4%

Total Vol

$720.6K

24h Vol

$62.5K

KALSHI

Recession in 2027?

• No77.5%
• Yes+3.0pt22.5%

Total Vol

$855.2K

24h Vol

$30.1K

POLYMARKET

Dem sweep & US recession by end of 2027?

• Dem sweep; No+16.4pt65%
• Dem sweep;+11.4pt35%
• No Dem sweep; No-22.6pt0%

+1 more outcomes

KALSHI

Jobs numbers in October 2026?

• Above -25,000+3.0pt92.5%
• Above 0+10.0pt93.5%
• Above 10,000+7.0pt

POLYMARKET

US GDP growth in Q4 2026?

• 1.5% to 2.0%+14.3pt20%
• 2.0% to 2.5%-0.5pt18%
• <1.5%-5.5pt13%

+4 more outcomes

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• Core CPI in October
• More tech layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?
• 2026: Trump's bad year?
• Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027?
• CPI in December
• Government shutdown by which date?
• CPI in November
• Pennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026
• CPI in October
• Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?