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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Economy
  3. More tech layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?
More tech layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?

More tech layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?

2.7% (24h)EconomyTechOne-OffBusiness & Corporate8mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 89%-2.7%
Market quality

49 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$14

Liquidity

$1.6K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

89.0% / 89.5%

Spread

0.6%

Tight spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Feb 25, 26, 3:00 PMMar 1, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes89%

Rules

If there are more than 447,000 layoffs in the information sector in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Important information: This market was listed using an incorrect underlying value for tech layoffs in 2025.
  • The correct floor strike is 447,000 layoffs, not 494,000 as currently specified.
  • If the final layoff count falls between those two numbers, we will pay out $1.00 to all traders with an open position as of March 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.
  • The rulebook variable has been updated accordingly.
  • Trades executed after this time are not eligible for reimbursement.

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What will happen in 2026 related to AI?

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,663.61+1.88%EthereumETH$1,652.22+1.30%SolanaSOL$65.11+0.89%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.11%BNBBNB$595.32+1.32%XRPXRP$1.12-0.32%

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Rules

If there are more than 447,000 layoffs in the information sector in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Important information: This market was listed using an incorrect underlying value for tech layoffs in 2025.
  • The correct floor strike is 447,000 layoffs, not 494,000 as currently specified.
  • If the final layoff count falls between those two numbers, we will pay out $1.00 to all traders with an open position as of March 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.
  • The rulebook variable has been updated accordingly.
  • Trades executed after this time are not eligible for reimbursement.