KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityYes 90%+0.2%
Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$177.3
Liquidity
$166.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
87.2% / 90.2%
Spread
3.4%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Feb 25, 26, 3:00 PMMar 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes90%
Volume trend
$177Jul 225d of dataJul 26
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If there are more than 447,000 layoffs in the information sector in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Important information: This market was listed using an incorrect underlying value for tech layoffs in 2025.
- The correct floor strike is 447,000 layoffs, not 494,000 as currently specified.
- If the final layoff count falls between those two numbers, we will pay out $1.00 to all traders with an open position as of March 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.
- The rulebook variable has been updated accordingly.
- Trades executed after this time are not eligible for reimbursement.