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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Economy
  3. More white-collar layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?
More white-collar layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?

More white-collar layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?

6.0% (24h)EconomyYearlyBusiness & CorporateMacro & Economy8mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 70%-6.0%
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$121.7

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

70.0% / 73.0%

Spread

4.3%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

Mar 31, 26, 2:00 PMMar 1, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes70%

Rules

If the total number of layoffs and discharges in the Professional and Business Services sector during calendar year 2026 is greater than 5,497,000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market will use FRED series JTU540099LDL, “Layoffs and Discharges: Total Nonfarm: Professional and Business Services, Level in Thousands, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted."

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Active in these topics

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Rules

If the total number of layoffs and discharges in the Professional and Business Services sector during calendar year 2026 is greater than 5,497,000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market will use FRED series JTU540099LDL, “Layoffs and Discharges: Total Nonfarm: Professional and Business Services, Level in Thousands, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted."