Which companies will conduct layoffs this year?
8.0 pts (24h)One-OffCorporate ActionsBusiness & CorporateMacro & Economy4mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Oracle 99%+8.0ptLeader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.6K
Liquidity
$27.3K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
May 20, 26, 9:00 PMJan 8, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Rules
If NVIDIA announces, implements, or acknowledges a layoff after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:MSNBCABC Newsthe Associated PressThe Washington PostCBS NewsAxiosCNNThe Wall Street JournalFox NewsCNBCThe New York TimesPoliticoNBC NewsBloomberg NewsReutersFinancial Times
- If Netflix announces, implements, or acknowledges a layoff after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Amazon announces, implements, or acknowledges a layoff after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Alphabet announces, implements, or acknowledges a layoff after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Apple announces, implements, or acknowledges a layoff after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Tesla announces, implements, or acknowledges a layoff after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Corporate ActionsKALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt93%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt92%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+7.0pt92%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $298.8K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- October 31,+9.0pt83%
- October 15,-3.5pt50%
+4 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-0.8pt97%
+10 more outcomes
POLYMARKETNext Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- September 3079%
- September 15+9.0pt60%
- September 945%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETIn which month will Anthropic IPO?
- October 2026+5.5pt60.5%
- September 2026+13.5pt18.4%
- November 2026-2.5pt7.9%
+14 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 202865%
- Before May 1, 2027-4.0pt51%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt46%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $807.3K
- IPOs before 2027?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
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- OpenAI IPO by which date?
- Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which companies will conduct layoffs this year??
- Kalshi prices Oracle at 99% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Which companies will conduct layoffs this year? resolve?
- Which companies will conduct layoffs this year? is scheduled to resolve on January 8, 2027.
- How is Which companies will conduct layoffs this year? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If NVIDIA announces, implements, or acknowledges a layoff after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.