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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Tech
  3. Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

TechYearlyBusiness & Corporate8mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Up
Up 90%
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$6K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

85.0% / 94.0%

Spread

10.6%

Wide spread
7d Change

+0.5%

Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Mar 20, 26, 6:45 PMFeb 28, 27, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Up90%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
  • This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
  • If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
  • Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
  • This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
  • This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
  • If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
  • Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
  • This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).