Will the S&P500 be greater than $8000 in 2026?
CryptoOne-OffTrade PolicyBusiness & CorporateAIFedPoliticsUS PoliticsEquities3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 65.4%
Forecasters
34
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJan 5, 26, 9:09 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if the S&P 500 closes at or above 8,000 at any point during 2026.
- This market resolves NO if the S&P 500 never reaches 8,000 during 2026.
- Resolution will be verified using the official S&P 500 closing price from FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data) or Yahoo Finance.
- The S&P 500 closed at 6,858.47 on January 2, 2026, requiring approximately a 16.6% gain to reach 8,000.
- Wall Street strategists project an average 10.2% gain for 2026, though Oppenheimer is most bullish, seeing the index rising 17.8% to 8,100, while Bank of America expects the benchmark to hit 7,100 by year-end 2026.
Open markets
Crypto
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,000 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
- $75,750 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 12, 2026 at 3pm EDT?
- $76,900 or above99%
- $76,800 or above99%
- $76,700 or above99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $368.5K
- 24h Vol
- $231K
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- ↓ 78,000+28.9pt100%
- ↑ 78,000100%
- ↓ 76,000-22.0pt21%
+15 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $65,500 or above97%
- $69,500 or above96%
- $70,000 or above96%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $197.1K
- 24h Vol
- $197K
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETWhat price will Ethereum hit in September?
- ↑ 2,600+43.5pt100%
- ↑ 2,500+28.9pt100%
- ↓ 2,400100%
+27 more outcomes
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 13?
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- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- ETH price range on Sep 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 12?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 14?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the S&P500 be greater than $8000 in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 65% as of September 12, 2026.
- When does Will the S&P500 be greater than $8000 in 2026? resolve?
- Will the S&P500 be greater than $8000 in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will the S&P500 be greater than $8000 in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria