KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 87%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$13.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
11.0% / 13.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Dec 19, 24, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will WHO declare a global health emergency not directly based on epidemic concerns by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the World Health Organization declare another global pandemic before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRecession this year?
KalshiUS recession by end of 2026?
PolymarketWhen will the next US recession start?
KalshiUS recession by end of 2026?
LimitlessRules
If the International Monetary Fund declares the world is in recession before 2027 in one of their World Economic Outlook reports, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:International Monetary Fund
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027??
- Kalshi prices No at 87% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027? resolve?
- Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the International Monetary Fund declares the world is in recession before 2027 in one of their World Economic Outlook reports, then the market resolves to Yes.