PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
25k to 50k 24.6%Leader of 7 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
25k to 50k 24.6%Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.2K
Liquidity
$9.6K
Medium liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Oct 2, 26, 5:59 PM UTCNov 7, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Jobs numbers in October 2026?
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExUS jobs revisions in the report covering October 2026
KalshiJobs numbers in Nov 2026?
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 5% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.6% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for October 2026, scheduled to be released on November 6, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
- The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm