PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 4:27 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
2.0–2.5% · —
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Stored reference
2.0–2.5% 49%Leader of 6 outcomes
2.0–2.5% 49%Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$17.4
Liquidity
$4.6K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$6.6K
Bid / Ask
— / —
2.0–2.5%Spread
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Comments
0
7d Change
+0.4 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingNov 12, 25, 11:18 PM UTCJan 29, 27, 12:00 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · 2.0–2.5%
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Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
- Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026.
- Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.