Current implied probability
0.8-1.1% 40%-11.0ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4K
Liquidity
$6.7K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
-4.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jul 31, 26, 11:41 PMOct 30, 26, 6:00 AM
Trends
0%
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
- If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
- This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point.
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Polymarket prices 0.8-1.1% at 40% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 resolve?
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 is scheduled to resolve on October 30, 2026.
- How is Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
