PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
0.4–0.5% · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored reference
0.4–0.5% 46.6%Leader of 7 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
0.4–0.5% 46.6%Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.4K
Liquidity
$4.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
— / —
0.4–0.5%Spread
—
Comments
0
7d Change
+13.5 pts
Market data
Updated 45 minutes ago
LaggingAug 13, 26, 5:43 PM UTCNov 13, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · 0.4–0.5%
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
- If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
- Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market.
- Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
- Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%).