PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
0.2–0.3% 23.6%-0.5ptLeader of 7 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
50 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$82.6
Liquidity
$5K
Medium liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
-4.5 pts
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Aug 13, 26, 5:43 PMNov 12, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
- If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
- Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market.
- Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
- Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%).
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)??
- Polymarket prices 0.2–0.3% at 24% as of August 26, 2026.
- When does UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)? resolve?
- UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)? is scheduled to resolve on November 12, 2026.
- How is UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
