Will Canada's real GDP growth rate fall below 0.4% for any quarter by EOY 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Canada's real GDP growth rate fall below 0.4% for any quarter by EOY 2026??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 96% as of October 24, 2026.

When does Will Canada's real GDP growth rate fall below 0.4% for any quarter by EOY 2026? resolve?

Will Canada's real GDP growth rate fall below 0.4% for any quarter by EOY 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Will Canada's real GDP growth rate fall below 0.4% for any quarter by EOY 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Will resolve with: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/250228/dq250228a-eng.htm?HPA=1&indid=3278-1&indgeo=0

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KALSHI

Mexico unemployment rate in October

• Above 2.7%+14.0pt42.5%
• Above 2.6%-5.0pt46.5%
• Above 2.8%-4.0pt30%

+6 more outcomes

Total Vol

$20.8K

24h Vol

$14.6K

KALSHI

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3

• Above 31.0%86.5%
• Above 31.5%+3.0pt74%
• Above 32.0%56%

KALSHI

CPI in October

• Above 0.0%+1.0pt98.5%
• Above -0.1%-1.0pt99%
• Above 0.1%+2.0pt89.5%

POLYMARKET

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

• 5.0%+1.9pt6%
• 10.0%+0.3pt2%
• 5.5%2%

+2 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

US economic state at the end of 2026?

• Overheating+11.0pt88.2%
• Soft Landing-8.0pt9.8%
• Slack-0.1pt1%

+1 more outcomes

KALSHI

Recession in 2027?

• No78.5%
• Yes21.5%

Total Vol

$732.3K

24h Vol

$6.1K

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