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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Economy
  3. 2026 World GDP Growth
2026 World GDP Growth

2026 World GDP Growth

1.5% (24h)EconomyOne-Off
PolymarketPolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee

This market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.

Current implied probability
≤2.9%
≤2.9% 44%-1.5%
Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$2.1K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

15.0% / 72.0%

Spread

380.0%

Wide spread
7d Change

-5.0%

Market data

Updated 15 minutes ago

Jan 23, 26, 4:21 PMJan 15, 27, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
≤2.9%
≤2.9%
-1.5%
44%
3.0%
3.0%
-1.7%
40%
3.1%
3.1%
33%
3.2%
3.2%
+0.1%
32%
3.3%
3.3%
+0.8%
16%
3.4%
3.4%
-0.1%
5%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

This Market will resolve according to the estimate of the World GDP growth rate (Real GDP, annual percent change) reported by the International Monetary Fund in the World Economic Outlook Update released between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, expected to be released in January 2027.

Polymarket
  • The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “World Economic Outlook Growth Projections” under “Estimate” in the row “World Output” and the column “2026”.
  • Changes in the IMF’s World Economic Outlook reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
  • The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo
  • If no estimate of the 2026 annual percent change in world real GDP is released in a World Economic Outlook Update between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, this market will resolve according to the published figure for 2026 annual percent change in World real GDP in the April 2027 edition of the World Economic Outlook.
  • If no such figure is published by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,638.04+2.55%EthereumETH$1,650.93+2.11%SolanaSOL$65.13+1.84%

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Active in these topics

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Rules

This Market will resolve according to the estimate of the World GDP growth rate (Real GDP, annual percent change) reported by the International Monetary Fund in the World Economic Outlook Update released between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, expected to be released in January 2027.

Polymarket
  • The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “World Economic Outlook Growth Projections” under “Estimate” in the row “World Output” and the column “2026”.
  • Changes in the IMF’s World Economic Outlook reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
  • The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo
  • If no estimate of the 2026 annual percent change in world real GDP is released in a World Economic Outlook Update between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, this market will resolve according to the published figure for 2026 annual percent change in World real GDP in the April 2027 edition of the World Economic Outlook.
  • If no such figure is published by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.