PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
3.0% · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored reference
3.0% 29.9%Leader of 9 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
3.0% 29.9%Market quality
75 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$7.6K
Liquidity
$11.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
— / —
3.0%Spread
—
Comments
0
7d Change
+2.1 pts
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Jan 23, 26, 4:20 PM UTCMay 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · 3.0%
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This Market will resolve according to the estimate of the World GDP growth rate (Real GDP, annual percent change) reported by the International Monetary Fund in the World Economic Outlook Update released between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, expected to be released in January 2027.
- The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “World Economic Outlook Growth Projections” under “Estimate” in the row “World Output” and the column “2026”.
- Changes in the IMF’s World Economic Outlook reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo
- If no estimate of the 2026 annual percent change in world real GDP is released in a World Economic Outlook Update between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, this market will resolve according to the published figure for 2026 annual percent change in World real GDP in the April 2027 edition of the World Economic Outlook.
- If no such figure is published by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.