World gdp growth from 2023 to 2100? (nominal USD, annualized, 10x amplified) (M10,000 subsidy)
InflationOne-OffMacro & EconomyEconomyForeign ExchangeBusiness & Corporate
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 64.1%
Forecasters
34
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleMay 22, 23, 2:13 AM UTCFeb 1, 01, 7:59 AM UTC
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KalshiRules
Nominal US Dollars, not PPP adjusted, not inflation adjusted.
- Resolves prob to 10*((world gdp 2100 / world gdp 2023)^(1/77)-1)
- If dollars cease to exist during the interval, I'll use the next largest fiat currency at the last available exchange rate from dollars to that currency.
- (e.g., if 1 USD = 4 Yuan just before the dollar ceases to exist, then the 2100 world gdp will be measured in Yuan and divided by 4 to convert it to the dollars that no longer exist)
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