KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above 0.4% (71%)
Resolved: Jun 10, 2026, 1:35 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Above 0.4%
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
79%
ConsensusProbability Timeline
Above 0.4%71%
Above 0.1%99%
Above 0.6%7%
Above 0.5%20%
Above 0.7%3%
Above 0.1%Lost
Above 0.0%Lost
Above -0.3%Lost
Above -0.2%Lost
Above -0.1%Lost
Above 0.2%Lost
Above 0.3%Lost
Above 0.4%Won
Above 0.5%Lost
Above 0.6%Lost
Above 0.7%Lost
Above 0.8%Lost
Above 0.9%Lost
Above 1.0%Lost
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than -0.3% (single-decimal) in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (June 10, 2026).
- Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency.
- In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than -0.2% (single-decimal) in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than -0.1% (single-decimal) in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
