Above $21.7531 billion
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Yes · —
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Stored price
Yes 80.5%
Yes 80.5%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$4K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
YesSpread
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Market data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Aug 19, 26, 1:00 AM UTCJan 29, 27, 2:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Yes
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026
KalshiGovernment spending increase in 2026
KalshiWill Chancellor Merz announce a German defense spending increase to 3.0% of GDP by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsHawaii’s total visitor arrivals in 2027
KalshiWill Illinois home prices increase YoY in Q4 2026?
KalshiWhat will US federal government spending as a percent of GDP be in 2031?
Manifold MarketsRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- The Underlying is the total statewide visitor expenditures for calendar year 2026, measured in nominal dollars, as reported by the State of Hawaii Department of Business, Economic Development & Tourism. This includes expenditures associated with visitors arriving by air and by out-of-state cruise ships. It does not use inflation-adjusted spending, average daily visitor spending, visitor days, or spending for an individual island or visitor market. Resolution uses the first publication containing complete January–December 2026 data; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution.
Rules for each outcome
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
