KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 0.0% · —
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Stored price
Above 2.0% 50.5%Market line of 9 lines
Above 2.0% 50.5%Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$1.4K
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 0.0%Spread
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Market data
Updated 41 minutes ago
Jul 28, 26, 6:30 PM UTCJul 29, 27, 12:29 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 5m (informational)
Market depth · Above 0.0%
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Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Economic Analysis
- The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q2 2027, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 0.0%
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0.5%
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.0%
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.5%
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 2.0%
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 2.5%
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 3.0%
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 3.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 3.5%
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 3.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.0%
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 4.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
