Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast>5.0% to 5.3% 43%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
11
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleNov 27, 25, 9:21 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
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Manifold MarketsRules
What will the UK unemployment rate be in the final quarter of 2026 (October-December 2026) according to ONS Labour Force Survey data?
- Current Context:
- July-September 2025: 5.0% unemployment rate
- IFS baseline forecast: unemployment peaks at 5.1% in 2026
- Recent trend: unemployment has been rising since mid-2022
- Resolution Criteria: This market resolves to the unemployment rate (seasonally adjusted, ages 16+) published by the ONS for October-December 2026 in the Employment in the UK bulletin released in early 2027.