KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above 5.8% (18%)
Resolved: Oct 15, 2026, 1:17 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Above 5.8%
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
37%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 15, 2026, 1:07 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Above 5.2%70%
Above 5.8%39%
Above 5.6%39%
Above 5.7%37%
Above 4.7%Lost
Above 5.6%Lost
Above 4.8%Lost
Above 5.3%Lost
Above 5.0%Lost
Above 4.9%Lost
Above 5.1%Lost
Above 5.5%Lost
Above 5.4%Lost
Above 5.7%Lost
Above 5.2%Lost
Above 5.8%Won
Above 5.9%Lost
Above 6.0%Lost
Above 6.1%Lost
Above 6.2%Lost
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KalshiRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 is above 4.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
- If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 is above 4.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 is above 4.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 is above 5.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 is above 5.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 is above 5.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
