KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 2% 97%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$2.4K
Low liquiditySpread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Feb 25, 26, 3:00 PM UTCJan 11, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
NYC median asking rent in December 2026
KalshiWill the Massachusetts rent control ballot measure pass?
Manifold MarketsWill Netanyahu visit New York City by which date?
PolymarketHow many billionaires will New York City lose this year?
KalshiNew York City FC vs. Los Angeles FC
PolymarketNew York City Marathon Women's Open Division Winner
KalshiRules
If the NYC StreetEasy Rent Index (all bedrooms) year-over-year percent change is greater than 0% in December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:StreetEasy
- If the NYC StreetEasy Rent Index (all bedrooms) year-over-year percent change is greater than 1% in December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the NYC StreetEasy Rent Index (all bedrooms) year-over-year percent change is greater than 2% in December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the NYC StreetEasy Rent Index (all bedrooms) year-over-year percent change is greater than 3% in December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the NYC StreetEasy Rent Index (all bedrooms) year-over-year percent change is greater than 4% in December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the NYC StreetEasy Rent Index (all bedrooms) year-over-year percent change is greater than 5% in December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $104.5M
- 24h Vol
- $2M
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $629K
- 24h Vol
- $35.7K
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $388.5K
- 24h Vol
- $14.9K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+1.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,000-1.0pt44%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $90.3K
- 24h Vol
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- August Inflation US - Annual
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for New York City rent increase in 2026?
- Kalshi prices Above 2% at 97% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does New York City rent increase in 2026 resolve?
- New York City rent increase in 2026 is scheduled to resolve on January 11, 2027.
- How is New York City rent increase in 2026 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the NYC StreetEasy Rent Index (all bedrooms) year-over-year percent change is greater than 0% in December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.