KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo trading activity
Data as of Oct 2, 2026, 2:34 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Above 2.5% No observed price
Above 2.5% No observed priceMarket quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
—
Open interest unknownSpread
29.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 24, 26, 9:00 PM UTCOct 14, 26, 12:29 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
If the year-over-year percentage change in U.S. electricity prices for September 2026 is above 2.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:BLS - CPI-U
- “Year-over-year percentage change in U.S. electricity prices” means the unadjusted 12-month percent change for “Electricity” in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), U.S. city average, as published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Resolution uses the percentage change published in the first BLS CPI release reporting September 2026 data, at its published precision. The value will not be recalculated from index levels. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 2.5%
- If the year-over-year percentage change in U.S. electricity prices for September 2026 is above 2.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 3.0%
- If the year-over-year percentage change in U.S. electricity prices for September 2026 is above 3.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 3.5%
- If the year-over-year percentage change in U.S. electricity prices for September 2026 is above 3.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.0%
- If the year-over-year percentage change in U.S. electricity prices for September 2026 is above 4.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.5%
- If the year-over-year percentage change in U.S. electricity prices for September 2026 is above 4.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.0%
- If the year-over-year percentage change in U.S. electricity prices for September 2026 is above 5.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.5%
- If the year-over-year percentage change in U.S. electricity prices for September 2026 is above 5.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
