KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 2.0% 59%Market line of 6 lines
Above 2.0% 59%Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.2K
Open interest
$2K
Low open interestSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 8:00 PM UTCJan 13, 27, 1:29 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If U.S. grocery inflation for December 2026, measured by the year-over-year percentage change in the CPI Food at home index, is above 2.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- The underlying is the unadjusted 12-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), U.S. city average, for “Food at home,” as first published by BLS for December 2026. The published percentage change will be used directly, without recalculating it from index levels. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 1.0%
- If U.S. grocery inflation for December 2026, measured by the year-over-year percentage change in the CPI Food at home index, is above 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.5%
- If U.S. grocery inflation for December 2026, measured by the year-over-year percentage change in the CPI Food at home index, is above 1.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 2.0%
- If U.S. grocery inflation for December 2026, measured by the year-over-year percentage change in the CPI Food at home index, is above 2.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 2.5%
- If U.S. grocery inflation for December 2026, measured by the year-over-year percentage change in the CPI Food at home index, is above 2.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 3.0%
- If U.S. grocery inflation for December 2026, measured by the year-over-year percentage change in the CPI Food at home index, is above 3.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 3.5%
- If U.S. grocery inflation for December 2026, measured by the year-over-year percentage change in the CPI Food at home index, is above 3.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.