KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAbove 0.2% 3%-2.0%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.6K
Liquidity
$58.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
2.0% / 4.0%
Spread
100.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Nov 6, 25, 3:00 PMJul 30, 26, 12:25 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above 0.2%3%
Compare venues· ≤0.0%
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Rothera
US Core PCE (June 2026)
5d
98%
67%
8%
+2 more outcomes
68 • Medium qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$457
24h Vol$457
ROTHERA
Also available on Polymarket
Core PCE MoM - June 2026
1.0%4d
-1.0%55%
-8.7%31%
-1.3%6%
+4 more outcomes
60 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$8.6K
24h Vol$110
POLYMARKETRules
If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.0% in June 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close at 8:25 AM ET on the expected release of the data.
- It will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of the data, or one week after the expected release of the data.
- If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.1% in June 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.2% in June 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.3% in June 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$3.6kJul 223d of dataJul 26
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If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.0% in June 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close at 8:25 AM ET on the expected release of the data.
- It will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of the data, or one week after the expected release of the data.
- If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.1% in June 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.2% in June 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.3% in June 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.