KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAbove 0.0% 98%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$993.7
Low liquidityBid / Ask
78.0% / 86.0%
Spread
10.3%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Nov 6, 25, 3:00 PMAug 26, 26, 12:25 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above 0.0%98%
Volume trend
$0.87Jul 213d of dataJul 24
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.0% in July 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close at 8:25 AM ET on the expected release of the data.
- It will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of the data, or one week after the expected release of the data.
- If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.1% in July 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.2% in July 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.3% in July 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.