PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSettled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Oct 25, 2026, 4:03 PM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 10:21 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
↑ $4.320%
↑ $4.401%
↑ $4.364%
↓ $4.280%
↑ $4.340%
↑ $4.300%
↓ $4.260%
↑ $4.28Won
↓ $4.28Won
↑ $4.30Lost
Before close: 36% ·
↑ $4.32Lost
Before close: 25% ·
↑ $4.34Lost
Before close: 7% ·
↑ $4.36Lost
Before close: 0% ·
↑ $4.38Lost
Before close: 0% ·
↑ $4.40Lost
Before close: 0% ·
↓ $4.16Lost
Before close: 0% ·
↓ $4.18Lost
Before close: 0% ·
↓ $4.20Lost
Before close: 0% ·
↓ $4.22Lost
Before close: 0% ·
↓ $4.24Lost
Before close: 0% ·
↓ $4.26Lost
Before close: 47% ·
↓ $4.28Lost
Before close: 1% ·
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US Average Gas Price Is $5.000 or more on any day in October 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will the US average gas price hit in October 2026?
Manifold MarketsNatural gas price on October 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
KalshiNatural Gas price on October 31?
GeminiWill gas hit __ by end of October?
PolymarketNatural Gas price on October 30?
GeminiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA is equal to or above the specified price for options marked ↑ (High), or equal to or below the specified price for options marked ↓ (Low), for any date from Monday, October 19, 2026 through Sunday, October 25, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market resolves based on the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA at https://gasprices.aaa.com/ in the "National Average Gas Prices" table under the "Regular" column and the "Current Avg." row.
- Each date's price is the price displayed at 10:00 AM ET on that date, provided that at that time the "Price as of" date shown on the webpage is that date and the "Yesterday Avg." row in the same column shows the previous date's price.
- If either condition is not met at 10:00 AM ET, the price will be observed at the first time on that date at which both are met; if both are not met by 11:59 PM ET on that date, the price displayed in the table at that time will be used.
- If AAA does not display the US national average price of regular gasoline in the table at the time of observation, the price displayed elsewhere on the webpage will be used.